Before it is too late, more thought should be given to the efficacy of building the Bullet-train based on the following six assumptions:
1. The projected cost of 85 billion will most likely go way over 100 billion.
2. There will be large operating subsidies that will continue without end.
3. The number of people benefiting will always be a very small percent.
4. The fares will be higher than projected.
5. The ridership will not relieve congestion on highways and airports.
6. The population density will never grow enough to make the HSR viable.
There may be more economical ways to solve the problems that the HSR addresses. We already have an infrastructure of highways that many millions of people use daily. This infrastructure needs to be maintained in a manner that takes into consideration that cars of the future will be much improved. They will be safer and get much better gas milage – even at higher speeds. The technology in some of todays cars allow them to travel closer together by changing speed automatically. Driving closer together would mean less money spent building more traffic lanes. With cars being able to drive closer together at higher speeds and getting better gas mileage, the future looks bright for car-travel. HSR has glamor, but is not going to go very far in solving transportation problems. HSR should be put on hold while other options are considered besides or in addition to this one.